November 20, 2024
HARRIS UNDERPERFORMS BIDEN IN CHICAGO BY 172,311 VOTES
Chicago has turned red by 15,520 votes. That’s meaningless if not ludicrous in a city of 2,746,388. Donald Trump got a dismal 15.5 percent in 2020 but upped that to 20.6 percent in 2024. What is meaningful is that the city’s Democratic presidential vote dropped by 175,311 from Biden-Harris to Harris-Walz – 944,735 to 769,424. Chicago is turning opaque. Chicago’s turnout plunged by 160,653, with 62 percent of the 1,498,873 registered voters casting a ballot. In an election where “democracy” was under threat, Trump was deemed Hitler, tyranny was imminent and Trump voters were “garbage,” it must be a relief to Chicagoans that only 202,954 of their brethren live in a dumpster. It is a concern, however, to the Democratic establishment that the Harris-Walz vote was just 28 percent of the city’s population and just 51.3 percent of the registered voters. And also that the Republican vote (20.5 percent) combined with the ex-Biden, anti-Harris non-voters, who are implacably anti-Trump, was more than 40 percent on Nov. 5. The Never-Harris types are miserable with the quality of their lives and the trajectory of this city. The popular vote at last count was 76,537,938-73,922,071 or 50-48.3 percent. Trump carried 31 states and Harris only 19 plus D.C. In 2020 the vote was 81,268,867-74,216,747, which means Trump’s 2020 base turned out while the Biden/anti-Trump base withered by a stunning 7.4 million. That was evident in both Chicago and the Cook County suburbs, where Harris won 644,190-373,096 (62.5 percent) in a 1,053,347 turnout compared to Biden’s 781,238-377,036 win with 66.9 percent in a 1,188,017 turnout. What happened is that 137,000 of the former Biden base just refused to vote. MY VICTORY LAP: This columnist got it ABSOLUTELY, AMAZINGLY right on my 2024 predictions. But practice makes perfect. In my Oct. 30 pre-election column I called it for Trump, for a Trump sweep of all 7 battleground (GA, NC, PA, MI, WI, NV and AZ) and a blowout electoral vote (EV) of 312-226. ATTACHED is a CHART detailing the NW Side ward-by-ward Biden/Harris vote differential. Full Article...
November 13, 2024
NO ARTICLE THIS WEEK
November 6, 2024
NO ARTICLE THIS WEEK
October 30, 2024
TRUMP WILL DEFEAT HARRIS IN A 312-226 ELECTORAL VOTE BLOWOUT
November 6 will be a “Day of Trauma” in certain parts of America. It will be the beginning of agony and ecstasy all at the same time. Set up the triage units. Break out the tranquilizers and sedatives. Expect all the 911 EMTs to be on overtime readiness. Get ready for an epidemic of Trump derangement syndrome (TDS) on the Radical Left. And that’s all because Donald Trump will have won on Nov. 5. I predict that he will have triumphed by an electoral vote (EV) of 312-226. Trump will have won ALL seven battleground states – PA, MI, WI, NC, GA, NV, AZ. He is now ahead in each state, albeit by miniscule margins, but he lost all but NC in 2020. Assemble a whole bunch of earplugs. Get ready for an ear-splitting crescendo of whining, moaning, groaning, ranting, raving, caterwauling, regurgitating, trembling, whimpering, pleading, plotting (Impeach Now) and grieving. All is lost. Apocalypse Now. Armageddon. End of Days. It will be the SIX stages of grief (not 5): Hysteria, Anger, Denial, Bargaining, Depression, Acceptance. Of course, I may be wrong, but the same thing will apply to Trump supporters if Harris does win. TDS will consume the media, who will shriek in disbelief about those “deranged” Americans who had the temerity to not vote for Kamala Harris. What’s wrong with them? Hillary Clinton, America’s favorite sourpuss will be trotted out to demand that every Trump voter be “re-programmed” ASAP, as democracy is in dire peril. Prediction: Kamala’s most enduring quote from 2024’s campaign is “What can be, unburdened by what has been.” Fortunately on Nov. 6 we will have been unburdened by the phoniness of Kamala Harris, and the Radical Left will be burdened by the past, which is Trump. Also analyzed is the CSB 1st District contest. Full Article...
October 23, 2024
TRUMP REPUBLICANS "COMING HOME" IN U.S. SENATE RACES -- FLIP LIKELY
The battle for the control of the U.S. Senate has ceased to be an anomaly, progressed to anathema, and will not conclude in changed behavior. In other words, Republican Trump enthusiasts in OH, PA, MI, WI, NV and AZ have realized that voting for Trump AND for a Democrat for senator would be absurd, that a Trump presidency would be thwarted by a Democratic Congress and that enacting a Trump agenda or reversing Biden-Harris policies means voting straight Republican. Of course liberal Democrats and Far Leftists consider Trump’s first term an oddity that should never be repeated. Polling indicating Trump and senatorial Republicans are surging and peaking baffles them. For those on the Left a Trump win and U.S. Senate takeover is JUST NOT SUPPOSED TO HAPPEN. Load up on your meds. It is happening and it will happen. Nov. 5 is a rare EITHER/OR election, meaning a choice between maintaining Biden-Harris policies for 4 more years or returning to Trump’s governance. The choice is clear and stark. You have to be all-in for “Your Side.” Note that Harris’s “Politics of Joy” has evaporated. And hate and fear have arrived. Trump is being derided as “unfit” and “exhausted,” and mocked for going to McDonald’s. Say what you want about him, but his campaign knows exactly what will “trigger” the Left and they double-down. Races in MT, OH, MI, PA, WI and AZ are analyzed. Prediction: The Senate will be 55R-45D. Full Article...
October 16, 2024
WISCONSIN IS A MUST-WIN FOR BOTH TRUMP, HARRIS
Wisconsin is a scenic wonderland, filled with vacation homes, water resorts, Door County, camp grounds, Lake Geneva, astounding winter skiing and endless Octoberfests. It’s also the home of the Green Bay Packers and many Milwaukee-area breweries that used to brew undrinkable, water-diluted slop as Schlitz and Hamm’s before they were sold off to big conglomerates. It was a whole lot of barley, oats and grains mixed with a whole lot of water. To be schizoid means to have an enduring and collective division of thought, a cleavage of opinion. Wisconsin, which has just 10 electoral votes (EVs), is completely polarized, with the electorate completely schizoid. Trump won by 22,753 votes in 2016 and lost by 20,682 votes in 2020. Wisconsin has a Democratic governor, Tony Evers, who won initially in 2018 and was re-elected with 51 percent in 2022, But the state also has a lopsided legislature which is 21R-11D in the Senate and 64R-35D in the House. Whatever Evers wants he does not get, and he vetoes whatever far-right non-sense the Republican majorities pass. Wisconsin’s U.S. senators couldn’t be more different. In the current national political environment every state except ME, WI, OH, WV (which will change this year as a Republican wins Joe Manchin’s seat) and MT (where 18-year Democrat Jon Tester is on track to lose) has two senators who are of the same party as the 2020 presidential winner. That includes GA. If Hovde wins it will mean that Trump won WI, and Trump wins the presidency. As goes WI so goes MI (15 EVs) and PA (19 EVs). And a Hovde win will also mean the Trump tide was sufficient enough to boost Republican senate candidates to victory in MI, PA and maybe NV, but probably not in AZ and MD (more about that in next week’s column). And a Republican Senate of 55R-45D or 56R-44D will withstand any 2026 anti-Trump pushback and have a profound impact on the American judiciary. And, of course, there will be no impeachments. Watch Wisconsin. Full Article...
October 09, 2024
SCHOOL BOARD CONTESTS ARE A PRELUDE TO OUSTING "SOCIALIST" MAYOR JOHNSON
The Chicago Teachers Union (CTU) essentially runs the city, and that’s because Mayor Brandon Johnson, a former organizer and lobbyist, is its stooge. He doubled down on that premise again on Oct. 7 during a press conference reminiscent of the Richie Daley days, in which he harangued the Chicago media for asking basic questions as he unveiled six new Chicago School Board (CSB) members after all seven resigned last week. The new members’ sole purpose is to vote to ratify the pending CPS contract with the CTU, and likely vote to fire current CEO Pedro Martinez, and take out a high-interest loan to pay for pensions and salaries and a litany of other “wants.” The new members are Olga Bautista, Michilla Blaise, Mary Gardner, the Rev. Mitchell Ikenna Johnson, Deborah Pope and Frank Niles Thomas. There was supposed to be seven, but one was dropped at last minute. Think of it: It’s the flunky appointing a bunch of sub-flunkies. And that’s not going to change on Nov. 5 when Chicagoans elect 10 school board members from ten districts. The current board will sunset by state law as of Dec. 31. But the new 21-member CSB, also established by state law, will have at least 16 pro-CTU flunkies, maybe more. And that’s because Johnson will appoint 11 members who will serve until 2026, until a fully elected board in 2027. Chicago’s current population is 2,638,159, so each CSB district has about 275,000 people. That’s the equivalent of 5 wards (55,000 each) with about 160,000 total households and maybe 175,000 RVs. As set forth in the attached chart the CTU has fielded a pro-CTU flunky in every district but an upstart pro-School Choice group called Urban Center has candidates in nine. The best bet for an anti-CTU win is in the 1st District where pro school choice champion Michelle Pierre is running against ex-teacher Jennifer Custer. The key is getting the Trump voters to back her. The next best bet is in the 2nd District where 50th Ward (West Rogers Park) Democratic committeeperson Bruce Leon, is running against the CTU’s Ebony DeBerry, an ex-CPS teacher. Full Article...
October 02, 2024
REPUBLICANS IN SPRINGFIELD IGNORED, INCONSEQURNTIAL, IRRELEVANT
There is irrelevant. There is inconsequential. There is laughable. Republicans in the Illinois legislature are all of the above. They are not just the minority. With Democrats holding a 40D-19R majority in the Senate and a 78D-40R majority in the House, Republicans are just an annoyance to be ignored, not even worth the effort to squash. And the Nov. 5 results may push them closer to extermination. There are 14 competitive seats (see chart) out of 118 in the House, of which six are held by a Republican and eight by a Democrat. Inasmuch as Trump will lose IL by 400,000-plus votes, it is entirely possible Republicans will LOSE more House seats. Democrats could hold 80 or more seats in 2025. A Democrat occupies 30of 32 Chicago districts, the exception being the 20th, which contains nearly all of the Northwest Side 41st Ward plus suburban Rosemont, Schiller Park, Norridge, Harwood Heights and some of south Park Ridge. The incumbent, Rosemont mayor Brad Stephens (R), is unopposed. Democrats also occupy 17 of the 19 suburban Cook County seats, the exceptions being Martin McLaughlin (R) in the Barrington 52nd district and Nicole La Ha (R) in the Western Springs 82nd district. La Ha was appointed in 2023 after Jim Durkin, the House minority leader, resigned. Both could lose. Prediction: Republicans will pick up a net 2 of seats. And that means absolutely nothing. Full Article...
September 25, 2024
HOUSING MARKET UPTICKS BUT "BUBBLE BURST" AWAITS
Those who do not learn from history are doomed to repeat them. The Federal Reserve Board’s (Fed) prime rate cut of one-half point on Sept. 19 is already spurring an uptick in the housing market, according to veteran Northwest Side realtor Dympna Fay-Hart. Buyers, she said, are much more willing to accept a mortgage with interest in the 5 percent range than in the 6 percent range, especially given the expectation that the Fed will cut the rate by another two points in 2025, bringing it down to the 3 percent range where it was pre-COVID. If there is another cut new buyers can refinance at the lower rate. “We will have a very good 4th quarter,” she added, with a lot of buyers getting pre-approval letters before making an offer, which gives them an edge in closing the deal. But five problems loom. JUDICIAL RETENTION BALLOT: 77 judges are on the 11/5 ballot for retention. Make a stupid, meaningless futile gesture. JUST VOTE NO. Full Article...
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