February 21, 2024
NO ARTICLE THIS WEEK
February 14, 2024
NO ARTICLE THIS WEEK
February 7, 2024
RFK JR.'S PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDACY WILL COST REPUBLICANS U.S. HOUSE MAJORITY
There are many Americans who are convinced that a second presidential term for either Biden or Trump would be disastrous for the country. Likewise, there are many Republicans who are increasingly convinced that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. will be disastrous for Speaker Mike Johnson and his precarious U.S. House majority. Recent polling shows RFK Jr. taking more votes from Biden than Trump and his consistent 8-11 percent polling is depressing the hardcore base vote of Trump to close to 40 percent and Biden’s to under 40 percent – which is where his job approval has now tanked. A Feb. 2 NBC poll had Biden’s approve/disapprove at 37/60; a CNN poll that same day had it at 40/60; and a Feb. 5 TIPP poll had it at 36/54. Those are doomsday numbers. Bloomberg polled all those states and its Jan. 31 poll had Trump, despite all his legal travails, winning all versus Biden alone AND all against Biden/RFK/West/Stein. In NC the numbers were 49/39 and then 45/32/9/1/1, so RFK is taking nearly twice as many votes from Biden than Trump. In GA it was 49/41 and then 44/37/8/1/1. In AZ it was 47/40 and then 43/35/10/1/1. In MI it was 47/42 and then 43/37/8/1/1. In NV it was 48/40 and then 43/31/12/1/2. In PA it was 48/45 and then 43/40/7/1/1. If Trump wins MI or PA, even getting fewer votes than in 2020, it’s over. And in WI, no hotbed of Trumpism, it was 49/44 and then 43/35/10/0/2 – although a Feb. 2 FOX poll had it tied 47/47 and 42/39/7/2/1 in the state. Full Article...
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