April 13, 2016
COOK COUNTY JUDICIARY IS BECOMING “NO MAN’S LAND”
ANALYSIS & OPINION BY RUSS STEWART
by RUSS STEWART
In the past, at least through the mid-1990s, judicial aspirants in Cook County lusted after some magical letters, such as HQ, Q and R. Those letters indicated qualification ratings from various bar associations, signifying highly qualified, qualified and recommended. An NR - "not recommended" - usually was the kiss of death.
Not any more. The only letters which currently matter in getting elected judge are XX, as in the female chromosome. XY, the male chromosome, is now the kiss of death. Twenty of the 29 countywide or subcircuit judges nominated in the March 15 Democratic primary, or 70 percent, are women. Of the 14 contested primaries in which a woman competed against a man, the woman won 13 of them.
The county's judiciary is slowly becoming a no man's land. Given current trends, by 2034 close to three-quarters of the county's 242 elected judges will be female. It's about 47 percent at present. As was demonstrated on March 15, Democratic slating doesn't matter. There were 13 judges nominated countywide, and there were contested contests for nine; the slated candidate won four. Ballot position doesn't matter, and, for men, an Irish surname no longer matters.
What does matter is gender. As can be seen in the adjoining chart, women with Irish-surnamed form an electoral colossus. They virtually can't be defeated, even if they're not slated. The only man who defeated a woman was appointed judge Dan Duffy, whose wife was former mayor Rich Daley's chief of staff. He had just enough clout as the slated candidate to win 360,383-294,381 over Monica Torres-Linares. Now even Hispanic women form a colossus. In the race for the Elrod vacancy, the slated Rossana Patricia Fernandez crushed Scott Edward Lipinski 576,212-285,279, winning by 2-1 margins in the predominantly black wards and getting 63 percent of the vote in the suburbs. In the race for the Palmer vacancy, the slated Pat Heneghan had an androgynous Irish surname. Was the candidate a man or a woman? He was trounced by Susana Ortiz 412,271-316,586, even with a third female candidate pulling 136,886 votes. Ortiz topped Heneghan 3-2 in the black-majority wards and 169,673-141,019 in the suburbs.
What is happening? There seems to be some kind of cultural and racial divide, and maybe even some self-interest. Judicial candidates cannot campaign for office in the traditional sense. They cannot articulate a position on guns, abortion or drugs. They cannot promise to be "tough on crime" or "compassionate." The best they can say is they're for "fair justice." Each slated candidate must contribute $35,000 to the Democratic Party for two countywide mailings and a sample ballot. Does anybody read that drivel?
There has long been an undercurrent among minorities, who have the most interaction with the legal system, and especially the criminal justice system. In short, minorities, especially blacks, don't want a bunch of white guys dispensing "justice," so they tend to vote for every black or Hispanic candidate. The problem is that a Hispanic surname is recognizable, but a "black" name is less so. Hence, in a field of unknown candidates, minority voters usually opt for the female judicial candidate over the male candidate or for the Irish-surnamed candidate regardless of gender over the male ethnic candidate.
Also, in contests were no one knows anything about anybody, women vote overwhelmingly for the female name on the ballot.
In the Heneghan-Ortiz contest, Heneghan won the cop-heavy Northwest Side 41st Ward 6,174-2,544 and the cop-heavy Southwest Side 19th Ward 7,491-4,365, but in every other predominantly white ward, even the 45th Ward, he ran 50/50, and he lost the Hispanic-majority wards by 70/30 or worse.
Fernandez won the predominantly black wards over Lipinski by 3-1, won every white-majority ward (except the 41st) by 65/35, and the Hispanic wards with 80 percent-plus of the vote. Lipinski won the 41st Ward 5,001-4,599.
The great irony is that female judges, especially in criminal and traffic court, tend to be tougher than male judges, who are more inclined to accept a plea bargain. I base this observation on 37 years as an attorney, with some criminal court experience. Female judges make an extra effort to be "tough," not "compassionate."
Another disgruntled group are black voters, who demand a "quota" on the bench. The Democrats slated four black candidates for the 13 countywide spots. The two who were unopposed won, while the two who were opposed lost. For the Karnezis vacancy, appointed black judge Devlin Schoop was slated, but Mary Kathleen McHugh, who moved into Cook County from Hinsdale, clobbered Schoop 410,904-276,351, with 157,231 votes going to an Irish man. In the black-majority wards, McHugh ran 50/50 with Schoop, and Schoop got under 35 percent of the vote in the predominantly white wards, losing the suburbs by 66,000 votes. Obviously, Schoop failed to "connect" among black voters. For the Walsh vacancy, Frederick Bates, who is black, was slated and initially had two Irish opponents, but one quit, leaving Bates to face Patrick Powers, an attorney with ties to the Republican McAuliffe/Rosemont clique on the Northwest Side.
Apparently black voters didn't seem to know who was the black candidate, but white voters did. Bates won the black wards with an unimpressive 55 to 60 percent of the vote, while Powers carried the white wards narrowly, buoyed by 65.6 percent of the vote in the 41st Ward, 63.3 percent in the 38th Ward and 61.4 percent in the Hispanic 36th Ward. Powers even carried the heavily Jewish 50th Ward with 51.5 percent of the vote. He won Chicago 242,190-238,018 and the suburbs 192,512-152,758. Powers is one of nine new white male judges.
For the Johnson vacancy, play "Taps" for poor Sean Chadhuri, the slated candidate. His problem was threefold: wrong name, wrong name, wrong name. He was appointed to the bench, but in a five-candidate race he cracked 20 percent of the vote in four wards, averaging 15 percent in the black-majority wards, and he got 15.4 percent of the vote in the suburbs. As an Indian American, he had no political base. The winner, Carolyn Gallagher, was rejected by Democratic slatemakers, but she filed any way, sensing Chadhuri to be an easy mark. Sources say that the party bosses recruited Bonnie McGrath into the race as a shill, hoping to dilute the female/Irish vote. Fat chance. Gallagher got 292,922 votes, to 124,427 for Chadhuri. The total Gallagher/McGrath vote was 441,837, while the vote for the three men in the race was 408,389. There will be no more "Chadhuris" slated.
The contests for the Hogan vacancy (Mike O'Malley vs. Alison Conlon) and the Howlett vacancy (Aleksandra Gillespie vs. Thomas Maloney Cushing) proved that any female Irish-surnamed candidate can defeat every male Irish-surnamed candidate.
Subcircuit races will be analyzed next week.
Send e-mail to russ@russstewart. com or visit his Web site at www. russstewart.com.